Wildcats vs. Longhorns preview: Kentucky’s chance to shake up the College Football Playoff race

Murray State v Kentucky
Murray State v Kentucky | Andy Lyons/GettyImages

Kentucky football has a golden opportunity this week, not to claim postseason glory that long passed with 4 straight losses prior to the Murray State win but to spoil Texas’ hopes of reaching the College Football Playoff. With the Longhorns sitting on the brink of CFP qualification, the Wildcats’ trip to Austin offers a chance to upend their season and deliver a statement win for Mark Stoops heading into the last game of the year and the recruiting period.

Texas has been an offensive powerhouse this season, averaging 37 points per game and boasting a balanced attack with 288 passing yards and 161 rushing yards per contest.

Quarterback play has been key, led by Quinn Ewers (Arch Manning filled in while Ewers was hurt), with a combined 30 touchdown passes against just eight interceptions. Their offensive line has allowed only 20 sacks, and they thrive on third downs 43%, keeping drives alive.

In comparison, Kentucky’s offense has struggled to find its rhythm (we're being kind here). Averaging 22.1 points per game, the Wildcats have, as usual, relied on the rushing attack, generating 157 rushing yards per game.

Inefficiency in the passing game, including 12 interceptions, has left Kentucky unable to finish drives or move the ball consistently. The Wildcats’ 37% third-down conversion rate highlights their difficulty sustaining offensive momentum.

To pull off the upset, Kentucky must dictate the pace of the game. It is a crucial factor if the Cats want to win; the Wildcats’ average of 30 minutes per game shows their potential to slow down high-powered offenses by keeping them on the sidelines.

Kentucky’s defense, despite allowing significant yardage this season, will need to capitalize on any mistakes Texas makes. This means forcing turnovers and pressuring the quarterback all game long.

Offensively, Kentucky’s performance hinges on consistent quarterback play. Whether Brock Vandagriff, Cutter Boley, or Gavin Wimsatt takes the reins, the Wildcats need a mistake-free performance to keep up with Texas in Austin.

The Wildcats face a tall order Saturday on ABC, but their role as the underdog brings a unique opportunity: to disrupt the CFP picture and remind college football fans that in the SEC, anything is possible. The game is scheduled for a 3:30 kickoff.