Kentucky's uphill battle: Three keys to shocking No. 21 Texas

The Longhorns D is elite, the offense not so much.
Kentucky v Texas
Kentucky v Texas | Tim Warner/GettyImages

Mark Stoops opened his Monday press conference with one clear message: “We know what you’re getting with Texas. It’s a very good football team, very well coached… Texas is Texas.”

For Kentucky (2-3), Friday night’s game isn’t just another SEC matchup, it’s a litmus test of toughness, pride, and program direction against the No. 21 team in the country. Pulling off the upset will require executing in these three key areas.

Key #1: Protect Cutter Boley at all costs

The freshman quarterback has shown flashes of brilliance, but he needs time to operate. Texas brings relentless pressure, boasting a defensive front that Stoops called one of the best Kentucky will face. “We have to have a good plan for him and make sure he’s comfortable,” Stoops said. That likely means quicker reads, potentially more max protection looks, and designed rollouts to get Boley moving and change the launch point. Failure here could lead to turnovers and stalled drives for an offense averaging just 24.4 points per game, and that is with a 48 point outburst against Eastern Michigan.

Key #2: Win the 'money downs' on defense

Kentucky’s defense ranks near the bottom nationally in opponent third-down conversion percentage (42.25%, 86th nationally). Stoops admitted the team spent the bye week self-scouting critical situations. “We have to look at all those things… how can we put our players in better position,” he stated. That renewed focus will be immediately tested against Texas QB Arch Manning, who was efficient and poised in their recent Red River Rivalry win. Getting off the field on third down is non-negotiable for a defense giving up 27.8 points per game.

Key #3: Limit explosive plays with Waller's return

Texas thrives on yards after the catch and isn't afraid to take deep shots. Kentucky’s secondary, ranked 89th nationally in passing yards allowed, gets a crucial boost this week with the expected return of cornerback DJ Waller Jr. Waller hasn't played since Week 1, and his size (6'3") and physicality on the perimeter could be vital in limiting explosive plays and tackling effectively in space. Kentucky must prevent Texas from hitting home runs.

If the Wildcats can establish the run, protect their young quarterback, make critical stops on third down, and perhaps steal a turnover, they might just have a chance to deliver the breakthrough moment this program desperately needs.

Drew Holbrook is an avid Kentucky fan who has been covering the Cats for over 10 years. In his free time he enjoys downtime with his family and Premier League soccer. You can find him on X here. Micah 7:7. #UptheAlbion

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