ESPN FPI predicts a Kentucky football blowout against Murray State

Oct 26, 2024; Lexington, Kentucky, USA; Kentucky Wildcats defensive lineman Keeshawn Silver (9) celebrates after a missed field goal by the Auburn Tigers during the third quarter at Kroger Field. Mandatory Credit: Jordan Prather-Imagn Images
Oct 26, 2024; Lexington, Kentucky, USA; Kentucky Wildcats defensive lineman Keeshawn Silver (9) celebrates after a missed field goal by the Auburn Tigers during the third quarter at Kroger Field. Mandatory Credit: Jordan Prather-Imagn Images | Jordan Prather-Imagn Images

Kentucky football may be at one of its lowest points in the last decade, having lost four straight games and not won an SEC game at home all year. In spite of all that, Kentucky gets to host a team having a worse season in a worse conference on Saturday, November 16, at 1:30 p.m. The 1-9 Murray State Racers are coming to Kroger Field, and things are real bleak for the Racers.

Murray State has lost seven games in a row, and their only win of the year was against an FCS school in Miss Valley State. Murray State has played terribly in every other game, keeping only one other game even close against Indiana State 31-27. They've allowed six teams to score more than 50 points on them and even one team, North Dakota, to put up 72 points on the Racers.

It's not that simply their defense gives up insane yardage and points; their offense is just as miserable. If we throw out that game against Miss Valley State, they have never scored more than 35 points, and they've had four games with less than 10 points scored, including two games in which they couldn't score at all.

ESPN FPI has predicted Kentucky to win with 99% probability.

This leads ESPN FPI to predict that Kentucky will win this game at a 99% probability. That's as good as they will give any team. FanDuel has the Wildcats as 38.5-point favorites. This game is predicted to be a blowout, even though Kentucky is reeling.

The annoying part of this game for Big Blue Nation is that it's streaming-only. It's on SEC Network+ or ESPN+. You can read more about how to access this game on your TV, computer, phone, or tablet here. It kicks off at 1:30 p.m. from Kroger Field in Lexington, Kentucky.