Kentucky football game Saturday: Kentucky vs. Tennessee odds and prediction for Week 10 game

The helmet of Kentucky's Jeremy Flax ( Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports)
The helmet of Kentucky's Jeremy Flax ( Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports) /

As the calendar turns to November and with just four games remaining the Kentucky football team finds itself in a must-win game Saturday hosting rival Tennessee.

Other than the losing two straight games there is not much that Big Blue Nation hates with a passion more than the color orange and Rocky Top.

No matter the sport Blue and Orange just loath each other.

Well, guess what its time for them to duke it out again, and this time it’s on the gridiron.

Both teams are riding two-game losing streaks and each has seemed to lose its way over the past couple of weeks.

Kentucky football and Tennessee are both on 2 game losing streaks

The Wildcats (6-2, 4-2) were on a six-game winning streak and the darling of the college football world and then they ran into a pack of Georgia Bulldogs who chewed them up in a 30-13 loss. They took the following week off to refocus and heal anticipating a big return to play Mississippi State.

Instead, they did everything possible to lose and not beat a Mississippi State team they could have and should have instead they played nightmarish on Halloween Eve and were frightened out of Starkville with a 31-17 loss.

Tennessee has had a pogo stick year winning one, losing one, winning one, losing one, winning two, and losing the past two games narrowly missing to Ole Miss 31-26 and getting shellacked by Alabama 52-24.

Kentucky has had very little success trying to take down the Vols who lead the series 81-26 with 9 ties. From 1985-2010 Kentucky failed to win one game-breaking that streak in 2011 with a 10-7 win but had to wait until 2017 to eek out another 20-17. Then last season Kentucky dominated UT 34-7 in Knoxville.

In this series, you never quite know what to expect, and judging by both teams’ performances of late it again is anyone’s guesses

Just the straight-up facts.

Kentucky                Stats                                 Tennessee
27.0                 Avg. Points Scored                 37.4
20.8                 Avg. Points Allowed               26.5

175.3              Ave. Rushing Yards                 226.0
116.0              Ave  Rushing Yards Allowed 144.4

191.0              Ave. Passing Yards                 231.1
219.5              Ave  Passing Yards Allowed 249.4

366.3              Avg. Total Yards                      457.3
335.5              Avg. Total Yards Allowed     393.8
16                     Giveaways                               8
4                        Takeaways                               11

Kentucky vs Tennessee Odds Week 10

The Week 10 betting odds on WynnBET currently have Kentucky as the favorite by minus -1.5 points. The under/over currently sits at 57. As for the Moneyline Kentucky is listed at minus -125 while Tennessee is plus +105. They have Kentucky’s points at 29, while the Vols are at 28.

Looking at the straight-up facts.

Kentucky is 6-2 against the spread this season.
Tennessee has 3 wins against the spread this season.
In head-to-head games, Tennessee leads Kentucky 81-26-9
In Knoxville last year Kentucky won 34-7.
Kentucky is 4-1 against the spread when they are at least a 1 point favorite.
The Vols have been underdogs by 1 point or more five times and only covered the spread once.

Kentucky vs Tennessee Predictions Week 10

Throughout most of the season, I predicted Kentucky would lose to Mississippi State and takedown Tennessee but had begun to waiver the past week and a half flipping that prediction to UK edging State by 3 points.

I should have stuck to my original gut.

Kentucky’s rushing attack has gone into hibernation the past two games and no one knows what is wrong with Christopher Rodriguez who carried 15 times the past two games for just 41 total yards and fumbled 4 times.

Quarterback Will Levis continues to play up and down as well from game to game and was completely out of sink Saturday throwing three interceptions.

If both aren’t working in sync this team is old dysfunctional and mediocre Kentucky football. If they get their gears working and full steam ahead they can run the table. The question remains which team will show up.

Tennessee is trending to get back in the win column should the aforementioned trend continue. They play very fast and don’t care about the time of possession or turnovers. They just want the ball at all times.

Kentucky doesn’t have to control the time of possession or keep the ball away they simply have to fire on all cylinders. Play clean, smart, and with a chip on their shoulders.

They have everything to lose, everything to gain, and need their mojo back. Tennessee too has everything to gain by destroying the strides that UK has made as a program while contending for a better post-season bowl game.

Kentucky will either come out firing, gunning, and angry and come away with a hard-fought win or they will let the frustration get the best of them again if the Vols take the lead and get into a fight for your life in the end kind of game.

I have this queazy pain in my stomach that still worries about Tennessee winning 31-24, but for Big Blue love I’ll go with:

Final score – Kentucky 27 – Tennessee 24

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