Looking ahead in the SEC

by Paul Jordan

EAST
Kentucky 29-2 (14-2)
Vanderbilt 23-7 (12-4)
Tennessee 23-7 (11-5)
Florida 20-11 (9-7)
South Carolina 15-15 (6-10)
Georgia 13-16 (5-11)

WEST
Mississippi State 21-10 (9-7)
Mississippi 21-9 (9-7)
Arkansas 14-17 (7-9)
Alabama 16-14 (6-10)
Auburn 15-15 (6-10)
LSU 11-19 (2-14)

Despite all the hype and hoopla over the SEC being a much improved conference this season, at this time the SEC still has as many teams locked into the NCAA Tournament as they did last year – three. Kentucky finished up the regular season with their 44th SEC regular season SEC Championship and the number two ranking in both the AP Top 25 and the ESPN/USA Today Top 25. Tennessee finished 13th in the ESPN/USA TOday poll and 15th in the AP top 25. The Vanderbilt Commodores finished the season ranked 20th in the AP Top 25 and 23rd in the ESPN/USA Today poll. Other than these three teams, no other SEC Team even received votes in either polls so you would figure that if any other teams are to go dancing, they need to get some wins in the upcoming SEC Tournament.

Now that the regular season is over, I am pleased to present my first and second team ALL SEC roster, as well as my choice for player of the year and coach of the year. I know earlier, I presented the poll results for the bloggers on this site (and our friends) but I won’t hide behind a poll and will present my ballot:

FIRST TEAM ALL SEC
G- John Wall, Kentucky
G- Devan Downey – South Carolina
F- DeMarcus Cousins – Kentucky
F- Trey Thompkins, Georgia
C – Jarvis Varnado – Mississippi State

SECOND TEAM ALL SEC
G – Courtney Fortson, Arkansas
G – Chris Warren, Mississippi
F – Patrick Patterson, Kentucky
F – Tasmin Mitchell, LSU
F – Chandler Parsons, Florida

PLAYER OF THE YEAR:
John Wall, Kentucky

COACH OF THE YEAR
John Calipari, Kentucky

As we mentioned earlier, Kentucky, Tennessee, and Vanderbilt have locked up NCAA Tournament bids. Kentucky is a lock for a number one seed, but both Tennessee and Vanderbilt could move their way into a top four seeding with a good showing in the SEC Tournament. Two wins in the Tournament would put Tennessee at 25-7 and give them a semi-final game against Kentucky. A Tennessee win over Kentucky would lock up a top four seeding for the Vols, but with 25 wins, they may have it already, regardless of what happens against Kentucky. If Vanderbilt wins two games in the Tournament, they too would have 25 wins. I think that Vanderbilt’s fate depends on Tennessee. despite sweeping the Vols, the Commodores are still ranked behind them. If Kentucky beats the Vols, Vanderbilt gets a top four seed by advancing to the finals. If Tennessee is still alive, the Commodores would need to meet the Vols for the third time to get a top four seed.

Next we come to the bubble teams. Despite losing three games in a row, I think that Florida is in the NCAA by the thinnest of margins. They need to win two games in the SEC tournament to lock that bid however. The Gators actually got a very favorable seeding as they would face Auburn and then Mississippi State. These are two very winnable games for the Gators. As a matter of fact, that Mississippi State/ Florida game could act as a play-in game , but I actually think Mississippi State may need two wins and that would require beating Vanderbilt. At this point, I think that Ole Miss is a NIT team. But if they win two games in the tournament, that would amount to wins over Tennessee and Kentucky. So there is lots at stake in the SEC Tournament. When the dust is cleared, I see Florida becoming the fourth SEC team and Mississippi State and Ole Miss headed to the NIT. Of all the other teams, I think Alabama has the best chance to join the Mississippi teams in the NIT as an opening win would give them 17 wins.

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